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房地产市场与股票市场羊群效应的经济学分析
引用本文:解保华.房地产市场与股票市场羊群效应的经济学分析[J].广东商学院学报,2008(2):34-40.
作者姓名:解保华
作者单位:广东商学院数学与计算科学系,广东广州,510320
摘    要:通过对我国房地产市场羊群效应与股票市场羊群效应的对比分析,从行为经济学角度探讨其中的行为心理成因,认为公众预期是这两个市场羊群行为的根本因素;同时,借助微分方程模型,对这两个市场进行均衡分析并给出了稳定性的条件.针对当前我国房地产市场和股票市场的现状,提出了善用预期、稳定市场的政策建议.

关 键 词:房地产市场  股票市场  羊群效应  预期
文章编号:1008-2506(2008)02-0034-06
修稿时间:2008年2月2日

An economics analysis of the Sheep Flock Effect in China's real estate market and stock market
XIE Bao-hua.An economics analysis of the Sheep Flock Effect in China's real estate market and stock market[J].Journal of Guangdong Business College,2008(2):34-40.
Authors:XIE Bao-hua
Abstract:Based on the comparative analysis of the Sheep Flock Effect in China's real estate market and stock market,this paper tries to explore the causes of psychology from the perspective of Behavioral Economics,and points out that public expectation is the fundamental factor that causes the Sheep Flock Effect in the two markets;at the same time,it makes a balanced analysis of the stability of the conditions with the aid of the differential equation model.According to the present situations of China's real estate market and stock market,policy suggestions are presented for making good use of public expectation and stabilizing the markets.
Keywords:real estate market  stock market  the sheep flock effect  expectation
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