| 山东省人均GDP时间序列模型的建立 |
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| 引用本文： | 仲亚伟,曾凡伟.山东省人均GDP时间序列模型的建立[J].价值工程,2005,24(5):12-14. |
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| 作者姓名： | 仲亚伟 曾凡伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东经济学院,济南,250014;济宁职业技术学院,济宁,272037 |
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| 摘 要： | 人均GDP的增长具有其内在的规律性。从山东省的实际情况出发,以1978--2002年山东省逐年人均GDP的统计数据为依据,将这些数据进行平稳化、零均值化处理,并利用序列的自相关函数、偏自相关函数的性质,确认序列应当适合的模型,从而建立其时间序列模型。
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| 关 键 词： | 人均GDP 时间序列 ARMA模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-4311(2005)05-0012-03 |
The Buildind of Time Series Model For Shandong Per Capita Gop |
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| Zhong Yawei,ZENG Fanwei.The Buildind of Time Series Model For Shandong Per Capita Gop[J].Value Engineering,2005,24(5):12-14. |
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| Authors: | Zhong Yawei ZENG Fanwei |
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| Abstract: | The growth of per capita GDP has its inherent regularity. According to actual conditions of Shandong,based on the annual statistic date from 1978 to 2002 of Shandong per capita GDP ,the paper makes the date zero mean and steady,and utilizes the character of the autocorrelation function and partial autocorrelation of the time series for choosing the suitable model, thus sets up the time series model. |
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| Keywords: | per capita GDP time series ARMA model |
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