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I.J. Bienaymé [1796–1878]: Criticality,Inequality, and Internationalization*
Authors:E Seneta
Abstract:Two striking contributions of Bienaymé to mathematical statistics: (1) a completely correct statemet of the Criticality Theorem for simple branching processes in 1845; and (2) the derivation of the Bienaymé-Chebyshev Inequality, are revisited on the 200th anniversary of his birth. We use writings and archival materials available since the note of Heyde & Seneta (1972) to present a fuller biographical picture. Bienaymé's connections with Buniakovsky and Chebyshev are elucidated, and this role in furthering Chebyshev's international contacts outlined. A concluding section illuminates Bienaymé's understanding of the linear regression of one random variable on another in an actuarial context of random shocks.
Keywords:Best linear predictor  Bienaymé  -Chebyshev Inequality  Branching processes  Buniakovsky  Central limit theorem  Chebyshev  Conditional expectation  Cournot  Criticality Theorem  Insurance mathematics  Life tables  Linear least squares  Markov chains  Method of moments  Retirement funds  Weak law of large numbers
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