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Corporate foresight in Europe: from trend based logics to open foresight
Authors:Cornelia Daheim  Gereon Uerz
Affiliation:1. Z_punkt GmbH The Foresight Company daheim@z-punkt.de;3. Z_punkt GmbH The Foresight Company
Abstract:The paper analyses the role of corporate foresight (CF) as a future intelligence gathering process, which has come into widespread use in a business context where it is confronted with specific contextual, processual and methodological challenges. The results of a 2005/2006 survey on CF by the University of St Gallen in co-operation with Z_punkt are used as a starting point to provide insights into the goals, methods and use of CF in large corporations. Taking into account the challenges facing CF and the factors considered critical for its success, the paper outlines a historical contextualisation of CF practices from the 1980s onward, identifying the underlying assumptions – the ‘dominant logic’ – and opting for a new model of CF as ‘open foresight’.
Keywords:corporate foresight waves  open foresight  trend research  contextual logic  strategic foresight
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