国际贸易非零和博弈的约束因素和实现机制探究

当今世界,国际贸易具有强烈的冲撞与协调、竞争与合作的博弈特征。在这场博弈中,人们所期待的平和、有序、共赢的局面并没有如期出现。相反地,随着新贸易保护主义的兴起、“技术扩散负作用”论的流行以及国际产业结构静态上的重构和动态上的脱节,导致国际贸易的摩擦此起彼伏。因而,要实现国际贸易的非零和博弈,必须要求贸易各方建立起激励相容的自由贸易机制、加速先进科学技术在世界范围内的转移扩散以及构建结构互补、水平分工与垂直分工交织并存的国际分工网络体系。

Constraining Factors and Realization Mechanism of International Trade Non-zero-sum Game

Nowadays, the international trade has agreat characteristic of game, which embody both conflict and harmonization, both competition and cooperation. In this game, the complexion, which is balanceable, methodical, and win-win, does not exist. On the contrary, the surge of new protectionist practices in trade, the popularity of"technology transfer side-effects"theory, and the static reorganization and the dynamic disjointing of international industrial organization lead to the emergence of international trade friction. Consequently, it requires every party of trade to set up free trade mechanism which is consistent, speed up the transfer of advanced scientific technology all over the world, and set up the international work-dividing network system, in which the horizontal work-dividing and vertical one interlace.