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The effect of macroeconomic news on stock returns: New evidence from newspaper coverage
Authors:Gene Birz  John R Lott Jr
Institution:aDepartment of Economics, State University of New York at Binghamton, United States;bMorgan Stanley, 1221 Avenue of the Americas, 39th Floor, New York, NY 10020, United States
Abstract:Previous literature has produced weak evidence to support the hypothesis that real economic news affects stock returns. This is, in part, attributed to the difficulty of measuring how investors interpret macroeconomic announcements in different economic environments. In this paper, we choose a different approach of measuring macroeconomic news to better estimate its effect on stock returns. Since newspaper stories provide an interpretation of the statistical releases, we choose newspaper stories as our measure of news. Our findings indicate that news about GDP and unemployment does affect stock returns.
Keywords:JEL classification: G14  E44
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