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New Belgian Stock Market Returns: 1832–1914
Authors:Jan Annaert  Frans Buelens  Marc JK De Ceuster
Institution:1. Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain School of Management, 151, Chaussée de Binche, 7000 Mons, Belgium;2. Université Paris-Dauphine, DRM, Pôle Universitaire Léonard de Vinci, 92916 Paris La Défense cedex, France;1. Universiteit Antwerpen, Prinsstraat 13, 2000 Antwerp, Belgium;2. Antwerp Management School, Sint-Jacobsmarkt 13, 2000 Antwerp, Belgium;3. Université Saint-Louis Brussels & Louvain School of Management Group, Boulevard du Jardin Botanique 43, 1000 Brussels, Belgium;1. Institut für Wirtschafts- und Sozialgeschichte, Universität Wien, Historisch-kulturwissenschaftliche Fakultät, Institut für Wirtschafts- und Sozialgeschichte, Universitätsring 1, A-1010 Vienna, Austria;2. Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, Trumpington Street, Cambridge CB2 1AG, UK;3. Faculty of Law, University of Cambridge, 10 West Road, Cambridge CB3 9DZ, UK
Abstract:The limited availability of high quality and computer readable data seriously impedes research in history and finance. We introduce a new monthly return series for Belgian owned equity based on Brussels Stock Market data for the period 1832–1914 as an improvement to the popular Drappier index. Over this period, our dataset includes 446,374 prices, 23,976 dividends, 371 stock and reverse splits (or other capital operations) on 2037 stocks of 1387 (foreign and Belgian) companies. Our dataset includes all shares and bonds but also high-quality information on prices, dividends, shares outstanding and market capitalization. In addition, company, country and sector information is available. We construct value weighted, price weighted and equally weighted indices as well as dividend yields. We find three important results. First, total nominal returns hover between 3.29% and 5.35% per annum, depending on how individual stocks are aggregated into the index. Second, dividend income constitutes the major part of total return and dividend distributions have a clear seasonal pattern. Third, the results highlight several drawbacks of the Drappier indices, especially an upward bias in expected equity performance.
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