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Nonparametric function estimation subject to monotonicity, convexity and other shape constraints
Authors:Thomas S Shively  Stephen G WalkerPaul Damien
Institution:
  • a University of Texas at Austin, United States
  • b University of Kent, United Kingdom
  • Abstract:This paper uses free-knot and fixed-knot regression splines in a Bayesian context to develop methods for the nonparametric estimation of functions subject to shape constraints in models with log-concave likelihood functions. The shape constraints we consider include monotonicity, convexity and functions with a single minimum. A computationally efficient MCMC sampling algorithm is developed that converges faster than previous methods for non-Gaussian models. Simulation results indicate the monotonically constrained function estimates have good small sample properties relative to (i) unconstrained function estimates, and (ii) function estimates obtained from other constrained estimation methods when such methods exist. Also, asymptotic results show the methodology provides consistent estimates for a large class of smooth functions. Two detailed illustrations exemplify the ideas.
    Keywords:C11&mdash  Bayesian analysis  C14&mdash  Semiparametric and nonparametric methods
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