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Performance maximization of actively managed funds
Authors:Paolo Guasoni  Gur Huberman
Affiliation:a Boston University, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, 111 Cummington St, Boston, MA 02215, United States
b Dublin City University, School of Mathematical Sciences, Glasnevin Dublin 9, Ireland
c Columbia Business School, 3022 Broadway Uris Hall 807, New York, NY 10027, United States
d Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 33 Liberty Street, New York, NY 10045, United states
Abstract:A growing literature suggests that, even in the absence of any ability to predict returns, holding options on the benchmarks or trading frequently can generate positive alpha. The ratio of alpha to its tracking error appraises a fund's performance. This paper derives the performance-maximizing strategy, which turns out to be a variant of a buy-write strategy, and the least upper bound on such performance enhancement. If common equity indices are used as benchmarks, the potential alpha generated from trading frequently can be substantial in magnitude, but it carries considerable risk. The statistical significance in estimated alpha is low, and the probability of a negative alpha is high. The performance enhancement from holding options can be significant - both economically and statistically - if the options' implied volatilities are higher than the volatilities of the benchmark returns. The performance-maximizing strategy derived in this paper is different from the strategies that switch portfolio exposure to the benchmarks. The exposure-switching strategies are not promising unless the switching is based on superior information.
Keywords:Fund performance   Alpha   Sharpe ratio   Appraisal ratio   Buy-write
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