| 中国全要素生产率的顺周期特征与决定因素:1952—2007 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵奉军,高波. 中国全要素生产率的顺周期特征与决定因素:1952—2007[J]. 经济经纬, 2009, 0(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵奉军 高波 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京大学经济学院,江苏南京,210093 |
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| 摘 要： | 笔者通过对1952年～2007年中国经济统计数据的回归分析,采用索罗残差法计算了中国经济的全要素生产率及其增长率,并对我国全要素生产率增长率及其决定因素做了简要分析.结果发现,我国全要素生产率总体上是递增的,但波动剧烈且呈现顺周期的特征.进一步研究显示,劳动储备和技术冲击是中国全要素生产率顺周期的主要原因.
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| 关 键 词： | 全要素生产率 顺周期 决定因素 |
Procyclical Characteristic of Chinese Total Factor Productivity and Its Determinant: 1952-2007 |
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| ZHAO Feng-jun,GAO Bo. Procyclical Characteristic of Chinese Total Factor Productivity and Its Determinant: 1952-2007[J]. Economic Survey, 2009, 0(2) |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Feng-jun GAO Bo |
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| Affiliation: | School of Economics;Nanjing University;Nanjing 210093;China |
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| Abstract: | By calculating Solow residual,the authors estimate the total factor productivity and growth rate of Chinese economy and analyse the determinant of TFP in the period of 1952 to 2007 in china.It is found that TFP growth rate increases by degrees generally but fluctuates markedly and shows the procyclical characteristic.Further study shows that labor hoarding and technology shock are main causes of the procyclical characteristic of TFP. |
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| Keywords: | total factor productivity procyclical determinant |
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