基于融合视角的中国东部地区信息化发展现状研究

首先按照两部门模型来研究了中国东部地区信息化与经济增长的关系。通过微分方程,基于非平稳面板数据方法,求解信息部门对其它部门的贡献,得出东部地区信息化与经济增长互为格兰杰因果关系。然后基于非参数面板数据固定效应模型,利用高斯核函数作为核权函数,对东部地区信息化与工业化的融合质量进行了评估。研究结果表明,工业化与信息化融合对东部地区经济发展水平的增长具有显著效应,工业化与信息化融合水平的提高可增加第三产业产值的比重。从工业化与信息化融合对东部地区三次产业影响的整体结果分析,可以看出融合对产业结构有一定的影响,可促使第一产业、第二产业向第三产业转移,这与我国走新型工业化道路的目标是一致的。

Research on the Development of Informatization in the Eastern Region of China Based on Convergence

Firstly, using two sector model the paper checked the relationship between informatization and economic growth in the eastern region .Through differential equations , the Non-stationary Panel Econometrics Methods were applied to solve the contribution of the information department to other departments .The results show that the infor-matization and economic growth are the mutual Granger cause .Secondly , using nonparametric panels fixed effects model and Gaussian kernel as kernel weight function , the paper made an evaluation of the convergence quality be-tween informatization and industrialization in the eastern region in recent ten years .The results show that the con-vergence between informatization and industrialization can exert obvious impact on economic growth in the eastern region and increase the output value proportion of the tertiary industry .Through analyzing the overall influence re-sults of the convergence between informatization and industrialization on three industries , it shows that the conver-gence can exert certain impact on the industrial structure adjustment .The covergence enables that the primary in-dustry and the secondary industry move to the tertiary industry .It is accordance with the goal of new industrializa-tion road.