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Global tourism vulnerability to climate change
Institution:1. Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Waterloo, 200 University Ave. West, Waterloo, Ontario N2L 3G1, Canada;2. Western Norway Research Institute, Research Centre for Sustainable Tourism, Box 163, 6851 Sogndal, Norway;3. Department of Management, Marketing & Entrepreneurship, University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch 8140, New Zealand;4. Department of Geography, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland;5. School of Business and Economics, Linnaeus University, 39182 Kalmar, Sweden
Abstract:Climate change will have far-reaching consequence for the future of tourism. A Climate Change Vulnerability Index for Tourism (CVIT) comprised of 27 indicators provides a transparent and systematic first analysis of the differential vulnerability of the tourism sector in 181 countries. Countries with the lowest vulnerability are found in western and northern Europe, central Asia, Canada and New Zealand. High sector vulnerability is found in Africa, Middle East, South Asia and Small Island Developing States. Vulnerability is highest in many countries where tourism represents the largest proportion of GDP and regions where tourism growth is expected to be the strongest over the coming decades. Climate change will pose an increasing barrier to tourism contributions to the Sustainable Development Goals.
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