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NO‐ARBITRAGE PRICING UNDER SYSTEMIC RISK: ACCOUNTING FOR CROSS‐OWNERSHIP
Authors:Tom Fischer
Affiliation:University of Wuerzburg
Abstract:We generalize Merton’s asset valuation approach to systems of multiple financial firms where cross‐ownership of equities and liabilities is present. The liabilities, which may include debts and derivatives, can be of differing seniority. We derive equations for the prices of equities and recovery claims under no‐arbitrage. An existence result and a uniqueness result are proven. Examples and an algorithm for the simultaneous calculation of all no‐arbitrage prices are provided. A result on capital structure irrelevance for groups of firms regarding externally held claims is discussed, as well as financial leverage and systemic risk caused by cross‐ownership.
Keywords:absolute priority rule  capital structure irrelevance  contingent claims analysis  counterparty risk  credit risk  cross‐holdings  cross‐ownership  derivatives pricing  financial contagion  leverage  Merton model  multi‐asset valuation  no‐arbitrage pricing  ownership structure  priority of claims  reciprocal ownership  seniority of debt  structural models  systemic risk
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