| 贵州省"十一五"期间固定资产投资与经济增长预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 闫亮,白万平. 贵州省"十一五"期间固定资产投资与经济增长预测分析[J]. 贵州财经学院学报, 2006, 0(2): 107-110 |
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| 作者姓名： | 闫亮 白万平 |
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| 作者单位： | 贵州财经学院,数学与统计学院,贵州,贵阳,550004 |
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| 摘 要： | 按不变价格调整原始数据,利用柯布-道格拉斯生产函数模型预测贵州省"十一五"期间GDP增长速度,并利用投资效果系数加以校验,最后得出结论:为促使贵州省"十一五"期间国民经济持续快速稳步增长,适度的固定资产投资规模是必要的,保证固定资产投资总量在7700亿元左右是比较合理的.
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| 关 键 词： | 固定资产投资 经济增长 计量经济模型 投资效果系数 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-6636（2006）02-0107-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-12-28 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-12-28 |
A Forecasting Analysis of Fixed Asset Investment and Economic Growth in Guizhou during the Period of the Eleventh Five-year Plan |
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| YAN Liang,BAI Wan-ping. A Forecasting Analysis of Fixed Asset Investment and Economic Growth in Guizhou during the Period of the Eleventh Five-year Plan[J]. Journal of Guizhou College of Finance and Economics, 2006, 0(2): 107-110 |
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| Authors: | YAN Liang BAI Wan-ping |
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| Affiliation: | School of Mathematics and Statistics, Guizhou College of Finance and Economics, Guiyang, Guizhou 550004, P.R. China |
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| Abstract: | This paper readjusts the original data with constant prices, forecasts GDP growth rate in Guizhou for the period of the Eleventh Five-year Plan using the Cob-Douglas production function, and checks the results with investment effect coefficient. The conclusion is that to facilitate the sustained, rapid and stable economic growth in Guizhou during the period, appropriate scale of fixed asset investment is necessary, and ensuring a total fixed asset investment of around 770 billion yuan is justified. |
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| Keywords: | fixed asset investment economic growth econometric model investment effect coefficient |
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