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The short-run impact of fluctuating primary commodity prices on three developing economies: Columbia,Ivory Coast and Kenya
Authors:Hermann Dick  Sanjeev Gupta  Thomas Mayer  David Vincent
Institution:1. Kiel Institute of World Economics, Federal Republic of Germany;2. Administrative Staff College of India, India
Abstract:Computable general equilibrium models are used to study the short-run impact of fluctuating primary commodity prices on the economies of Columbia, Ivory Coast and Kenya. The results indicate that these economies are destabilized by primary commodity price fluctuations unless governments act to hold real domestic absorption constant. To achieve this, however, would require foreign exchange reserves in excess of the level normally available to these governments for the purpose of stabilizing domestic economic activity.
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