| 现阶段我国合理赤字率的分析——基于债务风险的分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 彭志远. 现阶段我国合理赤字率的分析——基于债务风险的分析[J]. 云南财贸学院学报, 2006, 22(3): 32-37 |
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| 作者姓名： | 彭志远 |
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| 作者单位： | 云南财经大学经济系 云南昆明650221 |
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| 摘 要： | 从债务风险角度判断中国合理的财政赤字率的关键是看经济增长速度是否大于真实利率。根据索罗-斯旺模型,中国未来可以实现经济的较快增长,同时利率保持较低水平。中国1%~2%的基本赤字率是合理的。
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| 关 键 词： | 赤字 国债 经济增长 利率 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-5585（2006）03-0032-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-04-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-04-10 |
An Analysis on the Rational Deficit Ratio Based on the Government''''s Debt Risk |
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| PENG Zhi-yuan. An Analysis on the Rational Deficit Ratio Based on the Government''''s Debt Risk[J]. Journal of Yunnan Finance and Trade Institute, 2006, 22(3): 32-37 |
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| Authors: | PENG Zhi-yuan |
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| Affiliation: | Economics Department, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming, China 650221 |
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| Abstract: | Based on the government's debt risk,the rational deficit ratio depends on whether the economic growth rate exceeds the real interest.From the Solow-Swan Model,we know that the growth rate in our country can exceed the real interest in the future.The gross demand is still insufficient at present,so the deficit and national debt policy is durative and the basic deficit ratio from one percent to two percent is reasonable. |
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| Keywords: | Deficit Government Bands Economic Growth Interest Rate |
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