Asset Prices and Exchange Rates

We study the implications of introducing demand shocks and tradein goods into an otherwise standard international asset pricingmodel. Trade in goods gives rise to an additional channel ofinternational propagation—through the terms of trade—absentin traditional single-good models. The inclusion of demand shockshelps overturn many unrealistic implications of existing internationalfinance models in which productivity shocks are the sole sourceof uncertainty. Our model generates a rich set of implicationson how stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets co-move. Wesolve the model in closed-form, which yields a system of equationsthat can be readily estimated empirically. Our estimation validatesthe main predictions of the theory.