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辽宁省水利保障能力评价模型研究
引用本文:周翔南,张海涛,谢新民,贺华翔.辽宁省水利保障能力评价模型研究[J].水利水电技术,2015,46(3):12-16.
作者姓名:周翔南  张海涛  谢新民  贺华翔
作者单位:(1.中国水利水电科学研究院水资源研究所,北京100038;2.水利部发展研究中心,北京100038)
摘    要:为了研究辽宁省水利建设能否保障该省区域经济社会可持续和谐发展,以辽宁省第一次全国水利普查成果为依托,建立一套水利保障能力评价指标体系,利用模糊聚类综合评判模型和主客观赋权方法,对辽宁省各地市水利保障能力进行排序。评价结果表明,辽宁省各地市水利发展很不平衡,需要因地制宜,科学调整发展战略。

关 键 词:水利保障能力  指标体系  模糊聚类循环迭代模型  主客观赋权法    
收稿时间:2014-02-11

Study on evaluation model for water conservancy guarantee capacity of Liaoning Province
ZHOU Xiangnan,ZHANG Haitao,XIE Xinmin,HE Huaxiang.Study on evaluation model for water conservancy guarantee capacity of Liaoning Province[J].Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering,2015,46(3):12-16.
Authors:ZHOU Xiangnan  ZHANG Haitao  XIE Xinmin  HE Huaxiang
Institution:(1.Water Resources Department,China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing100038,China; 2. Development Research Center of the Ministry of Water Resources,Beijing100038,China)
Abstract:In order to study whether the water conservancy construction in Liaoning Province can guarantee the sustainable and harmonious development of the regional economy and society in the province,a set of index system for the evaluation of the water conservancy guarantee capacity is established on the basis of the achievement of Liaoning Province from the First National Census for Water,and then the water conservancy guarantee capacities of all the districts and cities within the province are classified and ranked with the fuzzy clustering iterative model for comprehensive evaluation and the objective and subjective weighting method. The evaluation result shows that the development of water conservancy is not so balanced for all the districts and cities in Liaoning Province,therefore,it is necessary to scientifically adjust the development strategy in accordance with the local conditions therein.
Keywords:water conservancy guarantee capacity  index system  fuzzy clustering cyclic iterative model  objective and subjective weighting method  
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