| Abstract: | This article is directed at the need for the development of forecasting techniques for non-environmental issues, especially political and military concerns. It describes a major research project in this area completed by Dr Weil and his colleagues at Consolidated Analysis Centers, Inc. The article defines the concepts and operational measures forecast, describes the development of a regression-based forecasting model and simulation experiments performed on that model, and presents selected long-range forecasts of significant political, economic, military, and social variables for the European region. |
