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中国证券市场A、B、H股的动态相关关系研究
引用本文:曾五一,罗薇薇.中国证券市场A、B、H股的动态相关关系研究[J].商业经济与管理,2009,213(7).
作者姓名:曾五一  罗薇薇
作者单位:厦门大学,经济学院,福建,厦门,361005
摘    要:文章将沪市(深市)A股、沪市(深市)B股和H股纳入一个研究框架,采用1995-2008年样本数据,运用GJR-GARCH-ADCC模型对三个市场的收益率条件相关性进行了实证分析.结果表明,A股和B股,B股和H股相关性受非对称信息影响,而A股与H股间不受非对称影响.本文还检测了三个主要的市场开放政策对市场间相关关系影响,发现B股市场开放后,A、B市场相关关系有明显的结构变动,联动性增强;QDII政策的实施加深了深市A股和H股,深市B股和H股的联系;但QFII政策对各市相关性影响不明显.整体说明国内证券市场,特别是A股和B股,A股和H股,融合度加深,联动性增强.

关 键 词:动态相关  非对称DCC模型

Dynamic Conditional Correlation among the A-share, the B-share and the H-share Markets in China
ZENG Wu-yi,LUO Wei-wei.Dynamic Conditional Correlation among the A-share, the B-share and the H-share Markets in China[J].Business Economics and Administration,2009,213(7).
Authors:ZENG Wu-yi  LUO Wei-wei
Abstract:This paper investigates the dynamic conditional correlation among the A-share, the B-share and the H-share markets in China. By applying the GJR-GARCH-DCC with asymmetric term model , we analyze three return indices during the period of 1995-2008. We find that the correlation between the A-share and the B-share markets, as well as the one between the B-share and the H-share markets are dynamic and asymmetric. However, the correlation between the A-share and the H-share markets is dynamic but not asymmetric. The results are important to portfolio diversification and for financial market participants. We also find that the A- and B-share markets as well as the A- and H-share markets are increasingly integrated.
Keywords:GJR-GARCH  dynamic correlation  GJR-GARCH  DCC with asymmetric term model
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