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BP神经网络在我国人身保费收入中的应用研究
引用本文:何淑菁,向小东.BP神经网络在我国人身保费收入中的应用研究[J].价值工程,2006,25(11):96-98.
作者姓名:何淑菁  向小东
作者单位:福州大学管理学院,福州,350002
摘    要:在提出和分析一套比较完整的人身保费收入指标体系基础上,采用我国1989 ̄2005年的实际经济年度数据,利用动量法和学习率自适应调整的BP算法对我国人身保险费收入进行拟合及测试(预测)分析。结果表明,与计量经济模型相比,神经网络模型具有更高的测试(预测)精度,平均相对误差为0.69%。最后通过相关度和影响度分析,强化了该模型应用价值。

关 键 词:BP神经网络  指标体系  人身保费收入
文章编号:1006-4311(2006)11-0096-03

Application Research on Personal Insurance Premium Income Based on BP Neural Network
He Shujing,XiangXiaodong.Application Research on Personal Insurance Premium Income Based on BP Neural Network[J].Value Engineering,2006,25(11):96-98.
Authors:He Shujing  XiangXiaodong
Institution:School of Management, Fuzhou University, Fhzhou 350002, China
Abstract:The paper give the norm system of Personal Insurance premium income. One method of modeling the insurance based on an improved BP model is established. Fitness and prediction analysis of china Personal Insurance premium income was made using all the date of the Insurance from 1989 to 2005 .Compared with the Econometric Model. This model has higher prediction precise with relative error of 0.69%. Finally Through analyzing of correlativity and influence. BP model proved to be more effective and applicable.
Keywords:BP neural network  norm system personal  insurance premium income
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