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"助推器"还是"稳定器":保险业对经济产出作用的经验证据
引用本文:田玲,高俊."助推器"还是"稳定器":保险业对经济产出作用的经验证据[J].保险研究,2011(3):26-35.
作者姓名:田玲  高俊
作者单位:武汉大学经济与管理学院,湖北,武汉,430072;武汉大学经济与管理学院,湖北,武汉,430072
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目“基于经济资本的保险公司整体风险管理研究”(批准号:710730112)阶段性成果; 教育部人文社会科学规划项目“中国巨灾保险供给能力研究”(项目编号:09YJA790149)阶段性成果
摘    要:现存理论与已有实证结论就"我国保险业对经济产出发挥的作用及程度"问题尚未达成统一共识.本文运用1999年~2009年保险市场以及GDP的相关季度数据,使用向量误差修正模型(VECM)论证我国保险业对经济产出的现实作用.研究结果表明,近十年来,中国保险业主要发挥的是抑制经济波动的"稳定器"作用,而对经济增长的"助推器"作...

关 键 词:保险发展  "稳定器"  "助推器"  向量误差修正模型(VECM)

Booster or stabilizer:an empirical analysis on the function of insurance industry to economic growth
Tian Ling,Gao Jun.Booster or stabilizer:an empirical analysis on the function of insurance industry to economic growth[J].Insurance Studies,2011(3):26-35.
Authors:Tian Ling  Gao Jun
Institution:Tian Ling,Gao Jun
Abstract:Existing theoretical and empirical studies have not reached consensus on the function of insurance industry to economic output.This paper explored the effect the insurance industry played through the vector error correction model(VECM) and quarterly insurance market and GDP data during 1999-2009.The paper concluded that China′s insurance industry had play the role of economic stabilizer rather than economic booster during the last decade,partly due to the situation that the insurance industry was still at an extensive operation stage.Making innovations in insurance products and services available,and expanding channels of the use of insurance funds in China,would not only be the basic guarantee for stable economic development in China,but also a necessary prerequisite for the industry to become an economic booster early.
Keywords:insurance development  stabilizer  booster  VECM  
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