中国经济增长与产业结构变动的联动效应探析

经济的快速增长是一个国家经济实力迅速提高的过程,而伴随着这种总量的扩张,其内部各组成部分便会发生剧烈的变动。其中最为明显的就是三次产业之间配比关系,即产业结构的变化。反过来产业结构的变动又会对经济增长产生累积性的作用。因此产业结构与经济增长两者之间存在着一种累积性的、双向循环式的作用机制。基于此,本文从改革开放以来近二十年的实际经济数据的整理、分析入手,通过静态和动态的联动分析,以量化的方式探析了两者之间的数量关系,以期为实现我国经济的快速增长和“十五”规划产业结构优化调整的目标提供有力的实证依据。

The Study on the Interaction Linkage of China's Economic Growth and Industry Structure

The growth of economy with high - speed in a country is the course of rapid improvement of it's economy strength. And accompanied with this expansion of economy aggregation is the violent reconstruction of its internal compositions, among which the proportion of the three industries, namely the industry structure, is the one of the most changes. On the other hand, such changes will produce the accumulative effects on the growth of economy. So there is an accumulative and mutually circulatory functioning mechanism between industry structure and the growth of economy. An insightful analysis and understanding about the interaction linkage can not only benefit the further economy development but have an important guiding significance on the adjustment of the country's macro - industry structure. Based on this understanding, this paper explores the quantity relationship between industry structure and economy growth. Employing the tool of econometrics, arranging the economic data of nearly twenty years since the open and reform, and making the static and dynamic analysis, the author is aiming to provide the convincing empirical proofs for the rapid growth of our country's economy as well as the goals of optimizing the industry structure in the tenth Five - year Planning.