新世纪中亚国家能源地位变化的实证分析

鉴于中亚国家在世界能源市场中竞争地位的凸显，本文采用聚类分析法，选取了12个主要经济体作为样本，对新世纪中亚国家的能源生产、消费及出口在世界能源市场中的地位予以分析。分析得出：从生产地位来看，中亚国家与世界主要能源生产国同属一类；从消费地位来看，中亚国家不属于世界主要的能源消费国；从出口地位来看，其生产地位和消费地位共同决定了中亚国家在世界能源市场中的出口地位越来越重要；综合能源生产、消费和出口地位来看，中亚国家在世界能源市场中的竞争地位凸显，与美国、俄罗斯、伊朗、埃及和印度同属一类。同时，分析还显示，与拥有丰富能源资源的中亚国家开展合作应该有利于解决我国能源短缺问题。

The Empirical Analysis of Energy Status Changes of Central Asian Countries

In view of the highlights of the Central Asian country’s competitive position in world energy markets,in this paper,we select Kazakhstan,Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan which has rich energy resources,such as oil and gas,to be central Asian countries, and choose 12 major economies which be of important position in the world energy production or consumption market,such as US,Venezuela,Russia,Great Britain,Iran,Saudi Arabia,Nigeria,Egypt,China,India and Japan,to be samples clustering of analysis.Firstly,we analyze the energy status changes of Central Asian Countries in the world energy production,consumption and export markets in new century;then,based on the economic development speed,we analyze the energy status changes of central Asian countries.In short,to a certain extent,cooperation with Central Asian countries with rich energy resources should be conducive to solve energy shortage in China.