林产品市场模型文献综述

关于林产品市场的数量研究开始于上个世纪50年代。早期的研究主要以时间序列数据为主。近几十年来,由于经济理论在林产品市场模型中的应用,模型估计方法的改进,以及详细数据的获得,林产品市场模型越来越完善。文章对近几十年来出现的主要建模方法,及其应用作一回顾,并对这些方法的优缺点作简单的比较。

The Review of Forest Product Markets Modeling

Quantitative analysis of forest product markets began in the 1950s.The pure time-series analysis was developed firstly.Based on the applications of the economics theory,the improvements of estimation methods,and the coverage of data,the models for forest product markets become better and better.This paper presents a class of models which were used for policy analysis and forecasting currently and describe the difference among these models.