| 加工贸易与经济增长关系的实证研究——以山东省为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 孔庆峰,李秀娥.加工贸易与经济增长关系的实证研究——以山东省为例[J].商业经济与管理,2008,195(1):64-68. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孔庆峰 李秀娥 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东大学,经济学院,山东,济南,250100 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章以山东省为例,运用协整理论和格兰杰因果检验等新兴的计量方法对加工贸易与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证检验,并与一般贸易进行了比较分析.研究结果表明,在长期内,加工贸易与经济增长之间存在着稳定的正相关的关系,但是加工贸易对经济增长的带动作用明显小于一般贸易.此外,加工贸易净出口和出口对经济增长的贡献率和拉动度也明显小于一般贸易.
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| 关 键 词： | 加工贸易 经济增长 协整理论 格兰杰因果检验 加工贸易 经济增长 关系 实证研究 山东省 Economic Growth Trade Processing Relationship Empirical Research Province 拉动度 贡献率 净出口 作用 相关 稳定 存在 结果 分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-2154（2008）01-0064-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-06-01 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年6月1日 |
An Empirical Research of the Relationship between Processing Trade and Economic Growth:A Case of Shangdong Province |
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| KONG Qing-feng,LI Xiu-e.An Empirical Research of the Relationship between Processing Trade and Economic Growth:A Case of Shangdong Province[J].Business Economics and Administration,2008,195(1):64-68. |
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| Authors: | KONG Qing-feng LI Xiu-e |
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| Institution: | KONG Qing-feng,LI Xiu-e(College of Economics,Sh,ong University,Jinan 250100,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper, using co- integration theory and the granger causality test with performs empirical tests of the relation between the processing trade and the economic growth of Shandong province. The results show that in the long run the processing trade has steady positive correlation with the economic growth of Shandong province. However, compared with the general trade, the promoting effect of the processing trade on the economic growth is limited. Besides, the average contribution rate and fuel rate to the economic growth of the processing trade is lower than the general trade. |
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| Keywords: | processing trade economic growth co - integration test Granger Cansality Test |
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