An unobserved component model of asset pricing across financial markets |
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Authors: | Adrian M. Cowan Frederick L. Joutz |
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Affiliation: | a Department of Finance, Economics and Quantitative Methods, University of Alabama at Birmingham, 1150 10th Avenue South, BEC 317F, Birmingham, AL 35294, United States b Department of Economics, The George Washington University, Washington, D.C., United States |
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Abstract: | Our research focuses on multifactor asset pricing models that investigate the importance of economic factors in the pricing of assets beyond the scope of the stock market. We present a Bayesian learning model of asset pricing across financial markets in which unobserved components are estimated using a Kalman filter (KF). Economic factors serve to drive the pricing of risk in the market, and agents update expectations recursively, as new information becomes available. We generally find that the Kalman filter provides superior performance and that economic factors like industrial production and unanticipated inflation provide consistent implications across financial markets. |
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Keywords: | G12 E44 |
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