收入视角下西北脱贫农户返贫潜在风险评估——基于甘南州X县实地调查

后扶贫时代，防止脱贫人口规模性返贫成为底线要求，对于曾是深度贫困且摘帽较晚的西部地区更是如此。基于当前反贫困领域的代表性成果，通过文献研读、实地调研和半结构式访谈等研究方法，从收入水平、收入波动和收入“水平-波动”3个维度对甘肃省甘南州X县183户脱贫家庭展开返贫风险评估。围绕政策、产业、医疗、保险4个方面提出相应的对策建议，为巩固西北少数民族地区的脱贫攻坚成果、完成整个5年过渡期“三农”工作的目标任务提供启示。

Assessment of the Potential Risk of Returning to Poverty in Northwest China from the Perspective of Income:Based on Field Investigation in X County, Gannan Prefecture

In the post-poverty era, preventing people from returning to poverty on a large scale has become a bottom line requirement, especially for the western region, which was once deeply poor and took off the cap late. Based on the current representative results in the field of anti-poverty, through literature study, field investigation and semi-structured interview and other research methods, the risk of returning to poverty of 183 families in X County, Gannan Prefecture, Gansu Province was assessed from three dimensions of income level, income fluctuation and “level-to-fluctuation” of income. Corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward from four aspects, including policy, industry, medical care and insurance, in order to consolidate the achievements of poverty alleviation in the northwest minority areas, complete the goals and tasks of the “three rural areas” work during the five-year transition period.