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镇江市城镇居民收入和消费的协整分析
引用本文:吕洁. 镇江市城镇居民收入和消费的协整分析[J]. 华东经济管理, 2005, 19(12): 8-10
作者姓名:吕洁
作者单位:江苏科技大学,经济管理学院,江苏,镇江,212003
摘    要:文章运用协整分析和格兰杰因果检验,对1978年至2003年镇江市城镇居民收入和消费之间的关系进行实证分析,结果表明两者存在着长期稳定的动态均衡关系,且具有明显的单向因果作用,即收入提高有助于推动消费增加。针对分析结果,对扩大镇江市城镇居民消费需求提出几点建议。

关 键 词:协整  格兰杰因果检验  误差修正模型
文章编号:1007-5097(2005)12-0008-03
收稿时间:2005-10-10
修稿时间:2005-10-10

The Cointegtation Studying on the Relationship between Income and Consumption of Zhenjiang Urban Households
Lü Jie. The Cointegtation Studying on the Relationship between Income and Consumption of Zhenjiang Urban Households[J]. East China Economic Management, 2005, 19(12): 8-10
Authors:Lü Jie
Affiliation:College of Economic Management,Jiangsu University of Science and Technology,Zhenjiang 212003,China)
Abstract:Using the Cointegtation Analysis and Granger-test to study the relationship between Zhenjiang Urban household's income and consumption.The result of experienced study indicates that the income and consumption was cointegrated form 1978 to 2004,furthermore,there was one-way causality.It means that raising income would stimulate consumption.According to analytical results,the article puts forward a few advices on enlarging the consumption of Zhenjiang urban households.
Keywords:cointegration  granger causality test  error correction model
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