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Linkages in the term structure of interest rates across sovereign bond markets
Affiliation:1. Indian Institute of Technology Madras, India;2. Madras School of Economics, India;1. University of the Aegean, Department of Business Administration, 8 Michalon, Str., 82100 Chios, Greece;2. University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics, Greece
Abstract:This paper investigates the linkages in the sovereign bond yields across different maturity spectrums among both developed and Asian countries. Term structure of interest rate is estimated using the Dynamic Nelson Siegel model and Kalman filter. The degrees of integration and transmission of shocks from one country to another are measured using forecast error variance decomposition in the generalized vector autoregression (VAR) model. The level factor showed higher spillover index across the countries. Regional influence is found to be higher in slope and curvature factors among the Asian countries. The linkages are high during periods of crisis.
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