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Firm-level effects of asymmetric intervention in foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the Swiss currency floor
Institution:1. Faculty of Finance, Cass Business School, City University London, 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1Y 8TZ, UK;2. CEPR, UK;3. Department of Economics and Finance, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1, Canada;4. Central Bank of Chile, Agustinas 1180, Santiago, Chile;1. Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin – Whitewater, 809 W. Starin Road, Whitewater, WI 53190, USA;2. Development Research Group, World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA
Abstract:In January 2015, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) abandoned the Swiss franc's exchange rate floor against the Euro. This paper is the first to study the firm-level effects of this asymmetric type of central bank intervention in foreign exchange markets. Using weekly stock returns for a sample of Swiss non-financial firms, I find significant reductions in total stock return volatility as well as market risk following the introduction of the currency floor. Accounting for the asymmetric nature of the intervention, I show that the enforcement of this policy solely manifests in a significant reduction of incremental EUR/CHF exchange rate risk exposures of exporting firms, while importing firms experience reductions in proportion to the market portfolio only. Thus, the asymmetric policy design is reflected in asymmetric responses of firm-level currency exposures. All effects, however, do not depend on the extent of business activity in the Eurozone. The overall results suggest that the currency floor was successful in supporting the performance of the Swiss economy by effectively reducing stock return sensitivities to market fluctuations and EUR/CHF exchange rate volatility.
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