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Media sentiment and short stocks performance during a systemic crisis
Institution:1. College of Business, Zayed University, P.O. Box 144534. Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates;2. Federal University of Agriculture, Abeokuta, Nigeria;3. ISCAL – Lisbon Accounting and Business School, Instituto Politécnico de Lisboa, Av. Miguel Bombarda, 20, 1069-035 Lisbon, Portugal;4. SOCIUS / CSG - Research in Social Sciences and Management, Rua Miguel Lupi, 20, 1249-078 Lisbon, Portugal;1. School of Accounting, Information Systems & Supply Chain, RMIT University, 445 Swanston, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia;2. School of Accounting, Information Systems & Supply Chain, RMIT University, 445 Swanston Street, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia
Abstract:During crisis periods, investors often engage in short selling of stocks, in line with their pessimistic view of the present and future market performance as well as with the hope to repurchase the stocks back in the future at much lower prices. This attitude not only affects stock returns, but also may lead to significant risk transmission among assets. Addressing this concern, our study examines the returns and volatility connectedness between media coverage index (MCI) and high short interest stocks during the recent Covid-19 pandemic. We document MCI as a net transmitter for all returns series, whereas the results for volatility series exhibits binary behavior, acting as either a transmitter or recipient depending on the considered sector of economic activity. We highlight that the healthcare and energy sector stocks behave as net recipients of both, returns and volatility; hence, a certain caution is required while including them in investment portfolios. Finally, the causality test indicates that the MCI is more strongly connected with stock returns than with volatilities, thus signaling that media, may not only provoke a rise in stock volatility, but cause intense risk transmission especially during a systemic crisis similar to Covid-19.
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