浅论通货膨胀预期的影响

本文在介绍我国通货膨胀预期指数构建方法的基础上,实证研究了我国通货膨胀预期与经济、通货膨胀预期与实际通货膨胀之间的相关性,研究表明我国通货膨胀预期对实际通胀不存在显著影响,而实际通胀存在显著黏性。文章结合对历史上发达国家经济滞胀情形的考察,对于我国当前在治理通胀的同时如何兼顾经济平稳发展提出建议。

A study on the impacts of inflationary expectation

After introducing the compilation method of China's inflation expectation index,the article empirically studies the correlation between inflation expectation and economy as well as between inflation expectation and actual inflation.The study shows that actual inflation is not significantly affected by inflation expectation and actual inflation is highly viscous.The article,in the light of reviewing economic stagflation of developed countries in the past,puts forth suggestions on how to control inflation whi...