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Real estate and relative risk aversion with generalized recursive preferences
Institution:1. Department of Economics, Lehigh University, Bethlehem, PA 18015.;2. Department of Economics, University of Houston, Houston, TX 77204-5882.;3. Department of Economics, University of Houston, Houston, TX 77204-5882.
Abstract:This paper investigates how real estate wealth affects the household’s attitude toward risk, and derives the closed-form expressions for risk aversion with generalized recursive preferences. We find three channels through which real estate wealth affects risk aversion, and these channels are absent in the traditional measure of relative risk aversion as in Arrow (1965) and Pratt (1964). First, illiquidity and fluctuations in real estate value increase consumption risk, thereby increasing risk aversion. Second, real estate as an asset provides a cushion for absorbing negative shocks to households, reducing risk aversion. Third, an increase in real estate prices lowers the profit of the firm that uses real estate as a factor of production, induces a decline in the real wage, and causes a rise in consumption risk. This channel increases risk aversion. We study how these channels as a whole determine relative risk aversion using a basic real business cycle model with generalized recursive preferences and compare the results with the case of expected utility preferences. Finally, we explore the implications of the firm’s and the household’s real estate holdings and illiquidity of real estate on the risk premiums for equity and real estate.
Keywords:Risk aversion  Real estate risk premium  Real estate prices  Generalized recursive preferences
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