进口与经济增长的因果关系实证分析——兼论“重新审视进口在经济增长中的作用”

运用基于误差修正模型(ECM)的因果关系检验对中国的进口和经济增长之间的关系进行分析,结果显示进口与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,进口对经济增长具有促进作用,进口与经济增长具有双向因果关系。

The Causality between Import and Economic Growth in China

Using Granger causality test and causality test on error correction model(ECM), this study re-examines the causality between import and economic growth in China, and the findings show that there is a long-run equilibrium, and import can promote economic growth, and the link between import and economic growth is a two-way causality.