| 房地产市场泡沫测度:珠三角实证 |
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| 引用本文： | 中国人民银行佛山市中心支行课题组,彭化非. 房地产市场泡沫测度:珠三角实证[J]. 南方金融, 2009, 0(10) |
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| 作者姓名： | 中国人民银行佛山市中心支行课题组 彭化非 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国人民银行佛山市中心支行,广东,佛山,528000 |
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| 摘 要： | 准确测度一国或地区的房地产市场泡沫水平和投机程度,是正确认识和有效解决房地产市场相关问题的基础.2008年,我国房地产市场价格在持续快速上涨后出现一定程度的回落,在市场的波动中如何准确测算其泡沫程度值得关注.目前对于房地产泡沫的测度方法不一,本文综合采用多种方法测算珠三角房地产市场泡沫,力求全面准确反映房地产市场真实的泡沫程度和房价合理度.结论显示:珠三角各地市房地产市场都存在不同程度的泡沫,当前的房价不尽合理,首付款和还贷压力均成为抑制市场需求的瓶颈.
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| 关 键 词： | 房价 房地产泡沫 房地产市场 珠三角 |
Measurement of Real Estate Market Bubbles:An Empirical Study of Pearl River Delta |
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| Research Group of Foshan Central Sub-branch of PBC. Measurement of Real Estate Market Bubbles:An Empirical Study of Pearl River Delta[J]. South China Finance, 2009, 0(10) |
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| Authors: | Research Group of Foshan Central Sub-branch of PBC |
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| Affiliation: | Research Group of Foshan Central Sub-branch of PBC(Foshan Central Sub-branch of PBC,Foshan,528000 China) |
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| Abstract: | How to have a correct understanding and to solve relative problems effectively on real estate market is based on the accurate measurement of a country or region's real estate market bubble level and speculative degree.In 2008,housing price experienced sustainable and rapid growth and then a rational cooling.The focus is then fallen on how to accurately measure the extent of bubble during the market fluctuation.At the present,there are a variety of methods used to measure the real estate bubble.This paper wi... |
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| Keywords: | Housing Price Real Estate Bubble Real Estate Market Pearl River Delta |
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