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Intertemporal consumption with directly measured welfare functions and subjective expectations
Authors:Arie Kapteyn  Kristin J Kleinjans  Arthur van Soest  
Institution:aRAND, United States;bMihaylo College of Business and Economics, California State University, Fullerton, United States;cNetspar, Tilburg University, The Netherlands
Abstract:Euler equation estimation of intertemporal consumption models requires many, often unverifiable assumptions. These include assumptions on expectations and preferences. We aim at reducing some of these requirements by using direct subjective information on respondents’ preferences and expectations. The results suggest that individually measured welfare functions and expectations have predictive power for the variation in consumption across households. Furthermore, estimates of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution based on the estimated welfare functions are plausible and of a similar order of magnitude as other estimates found in the literature. The model favored by the data only requires cross-section data for estimation.
Keywords:Expectations  Consumption  Euler equations
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