| 中国家禽产品出口波动影响因素研究——基于恒定市场份额模型的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张凤娟,史建民,田野青.中国家禽产品出口波动影响因素研究——基于恒定市场份额模型的实证分析[J].生态经济(学术版),2012(1):133-137. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张凤娟 史建民 田野青 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东农业大学经济管理学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用修正的恒定市场份额模型(CMS模型)对1992～2009年中国家禽产品出口贸易波动的主要影响因素及其作用强度和变化趋势进行了实证分析。研究表明:在贸易发展的不同阶段,国际市场需求、出口结构和出口竞争力对中国家禽品出口波动的作用程度不尽相同,不断变化的市场需求是主导中国家禽品出口波动的主要原因,而家禽产品出口竞争力下降、出口市场高度集中以及出口产品结构不合理是制约中国家禽产品出口稳定增长的重要原因。
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| 关 键 词： | 家禽产品 出口波动 影响因素 CMS模型 |
A Study on the Factors of Chinese Poultry Products Export Fluctuation Basic on CMS Model |
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| ZHANG Fengjuan,SHI Jianmin,TIAN Yeqing.A Study on the Factors of Chinese Poultry Products Export Fluctuation Basic on CMS Model[J].Ecological Economy,2012(1):133-137. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Fengjuan SHI Jianmin TIAN Yeqing |
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| Institution: | (College of Economics & Management,Shandong Agricultural University,Taian Shandong 271018,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper adopts the model of constant market share to analyze the influencing factors for the China’s poultry products export fluctuation during 1992-2009.The analysis result shows that the influential mechanism of demand of international market,exportation structure and competitive are different in different stage.The increasing demand of international market is the main factor of the growth of China’s poultry products export trade,but the decline of poultry product export competitiveness,the high concentration of export markets and the unreasonable structure of export products are the basic restrictive reasons of the growth. |
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| Keywords: | poultry products export fluctuation influential factors constant market share model |
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