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Aggregation of expert opinions
Authors:Dino Gerardi  Richard McLean  Andrew Postlewaite  
Institution:aDepartment of Economics, Yale University, USA;bDepartment of Economics, Rutgers University, USA;cDepartment of Economics, 3718 Locust Walk, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, 19104-6207, USA
Abstract:Conflicts of interest arise between a decision maker and agents who have information pertinent to the problem because of differences in their preferences over outcomes. We investigate how the decision maker can extract the information by distorting the decisions that will be taken. We show that only slight distortions will be necessary when agents' signals are sufficiently accurate or when the number of informed agents becomes large. We argue that the particular mechanisms analyzed are substantially less demanding informationally than those typically employed in implementation and virtual implementation. Further, the mechanisms are immune to manipulation by small groups of agents.
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