| 基于ARMA模型的上海市人均GDP时间序列分析与预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 叶斐. 基于ARMA模型的上海市人均GDP时间序列分析与预测[J]. 价值工程, 2010, 29(2): 231-232 |
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| 作者姓名： | 叶斐 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江大学; |
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| 摘 要： | 本文分析了上海市人均GDP水平时间序列(1978年至2008年),在将数据平稳化的基础上建立自回归移动平均模型(ARMA模型),从中找出上海市人均GDP序列变化的规律,并在此基础上对未来几年的指标数值进行了预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 人均GDP 时间序列 ARMA模型 预测 |
Analysis and Forecast of Time Series about Per Capita GDP of Shanghai Based on ARMA Model |
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| Ye Fei. Analysis and Forecast of Time Series about Per Capita GDP of Shanghai Based on ARMA Model[J]. Value Engineering, 2010, 29(2): 231-232 |
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| Authors: | Ye Fei |
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| Affiliation: | Zhejiang University/a>;Hangzhou 310027/a>;China |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,we analyzed the time series of per capita GDP of Shanghai (from 1978 to 2008).After making data stationary we set up an model and investigate the regularities of the time series.Furthermore,we forecast the per capita GDP of Shanghai in the years to come. |
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| Keywords: | per capita GDP time series ARMA model forecast |
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