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Continuous time modeling of panel data: SEM versus filter techniques
Authors:Johan H. L. Oud, Hermann Singer&dagger  
Affiliation:Behavioural Science Institute, Radboud University Nijmegen, P.O. Box 9104, 6500 HE Nijmegen, The Netherlands;
Lehrstuhl für angewandte Statistik und Methoden der empirischen Sozialforschung, FernUniversität in Hagen, D-58084 Hagen, Germany
Abstract:Although convincing arguments have been put forward for continuous-time modeling, its use in panel research is rare. In one approach, classical N  = 1 state-space modeling procedures are adapted for panel analysis to estimate the exact discrete model (EDM) by means of filter techniques. Based on earlier less satisfactory indirect methods, a more recent approach uses structural equation modeling (SEM) to get the maximum likelihood estimate of the EDM by the direct method. After an introduction into continuous-time state-space modeling for panel data and the EDM, a thorough comparison is made between the two distinct approaches with quite different histories by means of Monte Carlo simulation studies. The model used in the simulation studies is the damped linear oscillator with and without random subject effects.
Keywords:state-space model    structural equation modeling    exact discrete model    damped linear oscillator    random subject effects    Kalman filter
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