我国31个省份贸易强省建设实证分析

运用因子分析法和分类聚合,探讨我国31个省份的贸易指标,实证分析贸易强省建设情况。得到6个指标大类:贸易规模指标、贸易前景指标、贸易贡献指标、贸易分布指标、贸易优势指标及贸易市场指标。其中,贸易规模指标对贸易强省建设的影响率最高。京、沪、粤、浙及苏等省份居于全国贸易层级的前列,其贸易能力高于其他地区。针对贸易能力不高的省份,应根据其实际情况及规划目标,从各指标大类中的各细化指标出发,补齐短板。

An Empirical Analysis on the Construction of Trade Powerful Provinces in 31 Provinces of China

This paper using factor analysis and classification aggregation to explore the trade indicators of the country’s 31 provinces and cities,and empirically analyzes the construction of a strong trade province.Six categories of indicators are obtained:trade scale indicators,trade prospect indicators,trade contribution indicators,trade distribution indicators,trade advantage indicators and trade market indicators.Among them,the trade scale indicators has the highest impact on the construction of a strong trading province.Beijing,Shanghai,Guangdong,Zhejiang and Susu are at the forefront of the national trade hierarchy,and their trade capacity is higher than other provinces and cities.For the provinces with low trade capacity,according to the local actual situation and planning objectives,starting from each detailed index in each index category,we should fill the the short board.