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中国工业化、城镇化和农业现代化关系实证研究
引用本文:王贝. 中国工业化、城镇化和农业现代化关系实证研究[J]. 城市问题, 2011, 0(9)
作者姓名:王贝
作者单位:四川大学经济学院;西华大学政治学院;
摘    要:对我国1995年至2009年工业化、城镇化和农业现代化动态关系进行的研究表明,三者之间存在长期的协整关系。农业现代化与工业化、城镇化呈反向变动趋势;工业化和城镇化不是农业现代化的格兰杰(G ranger)原因,而农业现代化是工业化和城镇化的格兰杰原因;长期均衡对农业现代化水平调整的幅度较小;工业化和城镇化发展对农业现代化的冲击总体上并不显著。

关 键 词:工业化  城镇化  农业现代化  协整检验  

Empirical study on the relationship between China's industrialization,urbanization and agriculture modernization
WANG Bei. Empirical study on the relationship between China's industrialization,urbanization and agriculture modernization[J]. Urban Problems, 2011, 0(9)
Authors:WANG Bei
Abstract:Based on relevant data from the year 1995 to 2009,this article is aimed at making an empirical study on the relations between industrialization,urbanization and agricultural modernization in China.This article is concluded that there is a reverse trend between agricultural modernization and the other two,that agricultural modernization is the granger cause of industrialization and urbanization,but reverse causality is refused,that long-term relation acts on agricultural modernization slightly,and that indus...
Keywords:industrialization  urbanization  agricultural modernization  co-integration test  
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