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初创科技型企业生存前景的经验判别
引用本文:张伟,钟卫东,冯淑霞.初创科技型企业生存前景的经验判别[J].商业研究,2006(19):90-94.
作者姓名:张伟  钟卫东  冯淑霞
作者单位:1. 中国矿业大学,管理学院,江苏,徐州,221008
2. 厦门大学,科技企业孵化器研究中心,福建,厦门,361009
3. 徐州空军学院,财务系,江苏,徐州,221006
摘    要:如何判别初创科技型企业未来的生存前景是各种投资机构和理论界都极为关注的问题。运用非条件Logistic回归模型,对厦门留学人员创业园内初创企业的生存状态进行了经验判别。在12个影响因素中,发现有3个因素与初创企业的生存状况密切相关。其中,既有的销路和明确的目标市场是促进初创企业成活率提高的因素,而产品适用范围的扩大反而会降低初创企业的生存概率。

关 键 词:初创科技型企业  非条件Logistic回归模型  生存状态  经验判别
文章编号:1001-148X(2006)19-0090-05
收稿时间:2006-02-28
修稿时间:2006年2月28日

Empirical Discrimination of the Survival Prospect of Start-up High Technology Firms
ZHANG Wei,ZHONG Wei-dong,FENG Shu-xia.Empirical Discrimination of the Survival Prospect of Start-up High Technology Firms[J].Commercial Research,2006(19):90-94.
Authors:ZHANG Wei  ZHONG Wei-dong  FENG Shu-xia
Abstract:How to discriminate the survival and development prospect of start-up hi-tech firms is an issue highly concerned by both venture capital institutions and theoretical circles.The research paper uses non-conditional logistic regression model to make empirical discrimination about the survival and development status of start-up hi-tech enterprises registered in Xiamen Pioneering Park for Overseas Chinese Scholars.It is found that among the 12 factors of empirical discrimination,there are three key factors that are closely related to the survival status of start-up businesses.Ready-to-use Marketing and sales channels and clearly defined target market can effectively increase the survival ratio of start-ups,whereas the extension of the product's application scope can also decrease the survival probability of them.
Keywords:start-up hi-tech firms  non-conditional logistic regression model  survival status  empirical discrimination
本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录!
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