经济开放对中国经济增长作用的实证分析

中国经济已经经历了20多年的高速增长,经济开放对中国的经济增长究竟作用如何?对这一问题的研究将为我国合理开放政策的选择提供有益的启示。本文基于索洛的经济增长模型,从外贸和外资两个角度出发,对中国1985-2004年的数据进行了回归分析。实证分析的结果表明:现阶段国内资本投入仍是促进中国经济增长的首要原因,相比之下,外贸和外资对中国经济增长的促进作用不大。

Empirical Analysis on the Effect of Economic Opening on Chinese Economic Growth

Chinese economy has experienced rapid growth for more than twenty years, what is on earth the effect of economic opening on Chinese economic growth? The answer to this question will provide instructive revelation about the selection of Chinese reasonable opening policy. Based on Solow economic growth model and beginning with foreign trade and foreign investment, this paper made regression analysis using Chinese data from 1985 to 2004. The empirical analysis indicates that the domestic capital input is still the primary element that promotes Chinese economic growth, by contrast, the effect of foreign trade and foreign investment on Chinese economic growth is faint.