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Do Capital Flows Matter to Stock and House Prices? Evidence from China
Authors:Ling Feng  Chun Wang
Institution:1. School of Finance, and Shanghai Key Laboratory of Financial Information Technology, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, China;2. Department of Economics, Brooklyn College, The Graduate Center, City University of New York, New York, New York, USA
Abstract:This article analyzes the impacts of foreign direct investment (FDI) and short-term capital flows, otherwise known as hot money, on stock and house prices in China. Empirical results, estimated using the local projections approach, reveal that a positive hot money net inflow shock significantly increases stock and house prices and the impacts persist for up to 1–2 months, while a positive FDI net inflow shock contributes significantly to lagged house price appreciation but has no effect on stock prices. This study also identifies negative pass-through effects of FDI net inflows on hot money net inflows and positive pass-through effects of stock prices on house prices.
Keywords:asset prices  capital flows  China  local projections
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