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Non-parametric test of time consistency: Present bias and future bias
Authors:Kan Takeuchi  
Affiliation:a Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology, 1200 E. California Blvd., MC 228-77, Pasadena, CA 91125, United States;b Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, 2-1 Naka, Kunitachi, Tokyo 186-8601, Japan
Abstract:This paper reports the elicited time preference of human subjects in a laboratory setting. The model allows for non-linear utility functions, non-separability between delay and reward, and time inconsistency including future bias in addition to present bias. In particular, the experiment (1) runs a non-parametric test of time consistency and (2) estimates the form of time discount function independently of instantaneous utility functions, and then (3) the result suggests that many subjects exhibiting future bias, indicating an inverse S-curve time discount function.
Keywords:Intertemporal choice   Time preference   Present bias   Future bias   Reverse time inconsistency   Increasing impatience   Decreasing impatience
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