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Early growing season weather variation,expectation formation and agricultural land allocation decisions in Ethiopia |
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| Authors: | Musa Hasen Ahmed Wondimagegn Mesfin Tesfaye Franziska Gassmann |
| Affiliation: | 1. United Nations University-Maastricht Economic and Social Research institute on Innovation and Technology (UNU-MERIT), Maastricht, Netherlands;2. United Nations University-Maastricht Economic and Social Research institute on Innovation and Technology (UNU-MERIT), Maastricht, Netherlands World Bank Group, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia |
| Abstract: | Using unique crop-specific data gathered over 7 years, we study if and how maize-producing farmers in Ethiopia adjust their land allocation decisions in response to pre-planting-season weather variations. We show that farmers adjust their land allocation decisions in response to increased temperatures early in the growing season. In addition to quantifying a substantial adaptation margin that has not been documented before, our study also reveals the presence of a weather variation-induced expansion of maize production into areas that are less suitable for maize cultivation. |
| Keywords: | adaptation crop substitution land allocation weather variation |