要素禀赋、产业距离与产业升级路径选择

基于输入端的行业距离构造并利用自然条件、人力资源、物质资本、科技、经济结构和制度6大类共23种要素禀赋结构提出一种行业的"距离"度量。根据该度量绘制了行业的空间分布图,计算了10个低价值行业升级至3个高价值行业的最短路径。研究发现,资源型行业升级至高价值行业要经历更多的轮次,有时甚至缺乏升级至高价值行业的路径。有些中间行业如饮料制造业则始终出现在低价值行业升级至高价值行业的升级路径中,中西部省份产业升级路径选择若能趋近这些行业,产业升级将更为便利。

Factor Endowments, Industry Distances and Choosing Industry Upgrading Path

Different from Hidalgo et al. (2007) which construct a measure of industrial distance, and based on the natural conditions, human resources, material capital, science and technology, economic structure and regime which include 23 kinds of factor endowments, we construct the "distance" measure of all manufacturing industry. According to the distance, we draw the spatial distribution map of the industry, and then we use the Dijkstra algorithm to calculate the shortest path from 10 low-value industries upgrading to three high-value industries. The study found that resource-based industries to upgrade to high-value industries need experience more rounds, and sometimes there even are no paths upgrading to high-value industries. some of the intermediate industry has always appeared in the path from low-value industries upgrading to high-value industries. If the central and western provinces could approach these industries when they undertake eastern industries, their ways of industry development and upgrading is bound to become broader.