| 行业产能发展的系统动力学分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 何丽,谢英亮.行业产能发展的系统动力学分析[J].北京市经济管理干部学院学报,2010,25(4):16-19,44. |
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| 作者姓名： | 何丽 谢英亮 |
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| 作者单位： | 江西理工大学,经济管理学院,江西,赣州,310000 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文利用系统动力学方法构建了行业产能扩张模型,通过灵敏度分析,发现固定资产建设时间导致行业产能超过需求,其中折旧政策对影响过剩产能绝对数量有明显作用,据此提出加强行业宏观调控、发挥行业协会作用,加快设备折旧速度,企业扩张更多采取兼并方式等应对措施。
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| 关 键 词： | 系统动力学 模型 产能 建设时间 折旧 |
An analysis of systematic dynamics of industrial capacity development |
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| HE Li,XIE Ying-liang.An analysis of systematic dynamics of industrial capacity development[J].Journal of Beijing Institute of Economic Management,2010,25(4):16-19,44. |
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| Authors: | HE Li XIE Ying-liang |
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| Institution: | HE Li,XIE Ying-liang(Economy , Management School,Jiangxi Science , Technology University,Ganzhou 310000,China) |
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| Abstract: | An industrial capacity model is built with the method of systematic dynamics.With sensitivity analysis,it is found that over-capacity comes from the time delay of line construction,and that faster-deception brings less over-capacity.At last,the advice is given: the government should enhance an industrial macro-control,and the industrial associations should play their function fully,the speed of assets deception should be accelerated and enterprises merging for business expansion.Should be applied. |
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| Keywords: | system dynamics model industrial capacity construction time deception |
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